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The comparison ladder

Five questions, in the order they actually matter

Everyone starts at the premium, because the premium is the only number anyone prints in large type. It is the fifth most important number on the page. This is the order a competent desk works in.

Household modelled
40, non-smoker
Rating area
ZIP 19106
Projected income
$38,400
Advance credit
$352 / mo
Brass pins and taut thread mapping a path across ruled grid paper
A decision is a path across a grid. Everything below is that path, written out.

Rungs 01 - 05

The ladder

Each rung is a real table, and the section narrows as you descend, because that is what a decision does. Open any rung; they are all closed by default only so the page fits on a screen.

  1. Who is buying
    MeasureSingle, 40Couple, 38 & 41Family of fourSelf-employed, 52
    Household income$38,400$61,200$74,800$96,000
    Percent of FPL245%285%239%613%
    Benchmark Silver$448$911$1,344$704
    Expected contribution$128$374$249$680
    Advance credit$320$537$1,095$24
    CSR eligibleYes, 73 AVNoYes, 73 AVNo

    Expected contribution is the applicable percentage of household modified adjusted gross income under the current schedule.

  2. Which metal tier
    MeasureBronzeSilverGoldPlatinum
    Actuarial value60%70%80%90%
    Gross premium$312$448$529$638
    After a $352 credit$41$96$177$286
    Deductible$7,500$4,200$1,600$400
    Maximum out-of-pocket$10,600$8,900$6,800$3,400
    Primary care visit40% after ded.$35$25$15
    Carries CSRNoYesNoNo

    The credit is fixed to the benchmark Silver plan, so it does not grow when you move up a tier. Every dollar above Silver is yours.

  3. Which network
    MeasureHMOEPOPPO
    Referral to a specialistRequiredNot requiredNot required
    Out-of-networkEmergency onlyEmergency onlyCovered, higher share
    Typical Silver premium$412$448$566
    Provider count, metro18,40022,10041,600
    Provider count, rural2,9003,4009,800
    Annual premium delta-$432Baseline+$1,416

    Provider counts are illustrative. Verify your own physicians against the carrier's live directory before the effective date.

  4. Which subsidy applies
    MeasurePremium tax credit onlyPremium tax credit + CSR
    Income band250 - 400% FPL100 - 250% FPL
    Tier requiredAny metal tierSilver only
    Effective actuarial value70%73, 87 or 94%
    Silver deductible$4,200$800 at 94 AV
    Silver MOOP$8,900$3,150 at 94 AV
    Reconciled at tax timeYes, Form 8962Credit only, CSR is not reconciled

    Cost-sharing reductions attach to the Silver tier by statute. Choosing Bronze to save premium forfeits them entirely.

  5. The answer
    MeasureRecommendation
    PlanKeystone Mutual Silver 73 EPO
    Gross premium$448 per month
    Advance premium tax credit-$352 per month
    Net premium$96 per month
    Deductible$2,900 after CSR
    Maximum out-of-pocket$6,400 after CSR
    Why this oneBoth listed physicians in network, and the CSR variant beats Gold on total cost at expected utilisation.

    Illustrative only. A real recommendation is produced against your actual ZIP code, providers, prescriptions and household income.

Rung 04, expanded

Where your income lands, and what it buys

Two subsidies with two different rules. The premium tax credit lowers the monthly bill. Cost-sharing reductions lower what you pay at the counter, and they only exist on Silver.

BandHousehold of oneExpected contributionPremium tax creditCSR variant
Under 100%Under $15,650-Medicaid or coverage gap-
100 - 150%$15,650 - $23,4750% of incomeFull benchmark94 AV
150 - 200%$23,475 - $31,3000 - 2.0%Large87 AV
200 - 250%$31,300 - $39,1252.0 - 4.0%Moderate73 AV
250 - 400%$39,125 - $62,6004.0 - 8.5%TaperingNone
Over 400%Over $62,6008.5% of incomeCapped at 8.5%None

Illustrative 2026 figures for the contiguous 48 states. The expected contribution is a percentage of household modified adjusted gross income, applied to the benchmark Silver premium.

A household at 140% of the federal poverty level that buys Bronze to save $55 a month walks away from a Silver plan worth roughly 94% actuarial value.1 Over a year with one hospital admission, that trade costs several thousand dollars.

Rung 03, expanded

Network shape is invisible until the month it is not

A plan's network is set independently of its metal tier. Two Silver plans from the same carrier can have entirely different physician lists.

NetworkReferralsOut of networkTypical SilverPremium
HMORequiredEmergency only$412Lowest
EPONot requiredEmergency only$448Middle
PPONot requiredCovered, higher share$566Highest
  • HMO

    You have no strong provider attachment and want the lowest premium.

  • EPO

    You want direct specialist access but will stay in network.

  • PPO

    You have an out-of-area specialist you will not leave.

Rung 02, expanded

What each tier costs at the point of care

Actuarial value describes how a plan behaves across a standard population. This is what it looks like at the desk, for one person, on an ordinary Tuesday.

TierPrimary care visitGeneric drugDeductibleMOOP
BronzeDeductible, then 40%$25 after deductible$7,500$10,600
Silver$35 copay$15 copay$4,200$8,900
Gold$25 copay$10 copay$1,600$6,800
Platinum$15 copay$5 copay$400$3,400

The premium tax credit is fixed to the benchmark Silver plan, so it does not grow when you move up a tier. Every dollar above Silver is paid by you.

This is the single most useful thing to understand about the Marketplace: the credit is a fixed dollar amount, not a percentage.2 It is computed once, from the second-lowest-cost Silver plan in your rating area, and then applied to whatever you buy.

Method

How the answer on rung five is produced

Illustrative 2026 federal poverty level figures for the contiguous 48 states.3

  1. 01

    Every plan in the rating area is loaded

    On-exchange plans only, from the current landscape file, refreshed within 48 hours of each CMS release.

  2. 02

    Network and formulary filters run first

    Your physicians and your prescriptions. Anything that fails is removed before price is looked at.

  3. 03

    Subsidy is applied to each survivor

    Benchmark premium, expected contribution, advance credit, and the CSR variant if the household qualifies.

  4. 04

    Total annual cost is modelled three ways

    Low, expected and bad-year utilisation. Premium plus expected cost share, twelve months, one number per plan.

  5. 05

    One recommendation, with the runner-up

    And the reason it lost, so you can disagree with the reasoning rather than with the conclusion.

Next

Run the ladder against your own household.

Bring a ZIP code, a household, a list of physicians and a list of prescriptions. The comparison takes about forty minutes and costs nothing.